Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.0% vs Stastny 54.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 61.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 90.1%
Neutral zone
Compher 72.0%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Compher
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Compher
Stastny
Last 5: Compher 0-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Compher
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Compher
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Compher
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (480)
53.6% (859)
-3.6%
Power Play
52.9% (51)
59.9% (202)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (184)
55.1% (78)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Compher is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Compher shoots right. Stastny is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Compher
Stastny
Home
51.2% (328)
56.9% (596)
Away
44.7% (387)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Compher
Stastny
P1
50.4%
53.9%
P2
47.2%
56.2%
P3
46.2%
54.4%
OT
25.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
45.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |