Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Zacha 52.8% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 79.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 58.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 64.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Compher
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Compher
Zacha
Last 10: Compher 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
Compher
Zacha
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
2
Compher
Zacha
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
54.1% (534)
-8.3%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
56.0% (109)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
44.8% (96)
-2.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Compher
Zacha
Home
45.1% (519)
53.4% (406)
Away
45.1% (494)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Compher
Zacha
P1
45.8%
56.8%
P2
46.2%
53.6%
P3
43.2%
49.2%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |