Scouting Report
Pontus Holmberg holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Holmberg 49.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 57.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 57.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 56.7%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Compher
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Compher
Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
1
2
Compher
Holmberg
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Holmberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holmberg
1
3
Compher
Holmberg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
49.0% (245)
-3.2%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
33.3% (3)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
48.6% (37)
-6.7%
On power play, Compher has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Holmberg is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Compher
Holmberg
Home
45.1% (519)
50.3% (147)
Away
45.1% (494)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Compher
Holmberg
P1
45.8%
59.2%
P2
46.2%
40.0%
P3
43.2%
46.9%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |