Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 43.9%). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Greig 45.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 51.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 57.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 52.0%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Compher
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Compher
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Compher
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
45.2% (414)
+0.3%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
28.6% (14)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
28.6% (21)
+13.1%
On power play, Compher has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Greig is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Compher
Greig
Home
44.0% (484)
46.4% (196)
Away
45.4% (555)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Compher
Greig
P1
46.2%
40.8%
P2
44.8%
46.4%
P3
44.2%
43.9%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |