Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Johansen 52.8% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 54.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Compher
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Compher
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
51.9% (597)
-6.4%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
57.9% (133)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
54.3% (81)
-12.6%
On power play, Johansen has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Compher
Johansen
Home
44.0% (484)
55.8% (387)
Away
45.4% (555)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Compher
Johansen
P1
46.2%
50.0%
P2
44.8%
56.2%
P3
44.2%
52.6%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |