Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Poehling 50.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 57.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 85.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 73.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Compher
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Compher
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
0
Compher
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Compher
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
52.6% (622)
-6.8%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
58.3% (12)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
39.8% (103)
+2.1%
On power play, Poehling has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Poehling is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Compher
Poehling
Home
45.1% (519)
53.2% (393)
Away
45.1% (494)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Compher
Poehling
P1
45.8%
50.9%
P2
46.2%
56.2%
P3
43.2%
46.1%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |