Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Crosby 56.6% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 89.2%
Defensive zone
Crosby 52.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 72.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Compher
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Compher
Crosby
Last 9: Compher 5-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Compher
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
5
0
Compher
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Compher
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
56.2% (1,451)
-10.4%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
61.4% (293)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
55.3% (38)
-13.4%
On power play, Crosby has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Compher
Crosby
Home
45.1% (519)
59.1% (939)
Away
45.1% (494)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Compher
Crosby
P1
45.8%
54.9%
P2
46.2%
60.8%
P3
43.2%
55.4%
OT
33.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
41.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |