Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.5%). Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Lorentz 48.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lorentz 53.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 67.1%
Neutral zone
Compher 55.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Compher
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Compher
Lorentz
Last 10: Compher 7-3 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Lorentz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
1
Compher
Lorentz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Lorentz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
48.9% (1,118)
-0.2%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
50.0% (26)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
41.9% (86)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Compher shoots right. Lorentz is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Home / Away
Compher
Lorentz
Home
49.1% (3,894)
50.8% (606)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Compher
Lorentz
P1
49.1%
53.0%
P2
47.3%
46.8%
P3
47.4%
46.1%
OT
40.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | OT | 01:25 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |