Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 54.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 58.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 55.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Compher
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Compher
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
30.8% (26)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
57.1% (7)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Lorentz is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Compher
Lorentz
Home
45.1% (519)
35.0% (20)
Away
45.1% (494)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Compher
Lorentz
P1
45.8%
38.5%
P2
46.2%
37.5%
P3
43.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |