Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Nosek 46.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 66.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 87.0%
Neutral zone
Compher 78.7%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Compher
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Compher
Nosek
Last 5: Compher 4-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
1
Compher
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
48.5% (66)
+5.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
100.0% (1)
-45.2%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
29.6% (27)
+6.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Nosek is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Compher
Nosek
Home
52.4% (429)
44.0% (25)
Away
51.7% (449)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Compher
Nosek
P1
56.0%
46.4%
P2
50.0%
34.2%
P3
50.6%
53.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |