Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Jost 45.0% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 78.4%
Defensive zone
Jost 62.6%
Neutral zone
Jost 69.5%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Compher
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Compher
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
3
Compher
Jost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
39.3% (84)
+14.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
0.0% (1)
+54.8%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
50.0% (6)
-14.4%
On power play, Compher has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Jost is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Compher
Jost
Home
52.4% (429)
38.5% (52)
Away
51.7% (449)
41.0% (39)
By Period
Compher
Jost
P1
56.0%
40.6%
P2
50.0%
38.9%
P3
50.6%
39.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |