Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 53.8%
Defensive zone
Compher 57.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 65.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Compher
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Compher
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Compher
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
58.5% (135)
-4.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
80.0% (5)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
44.4% (18)
-8.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Compher
Karlsson
Home
52.4% (429)
63.7% (91)
Away
51.7% (449)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Compher
Karlsson
P1
56.0%
54.4%
P2
50.0%
66.7%
P3
50.6%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | William Karlsson |