Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 72.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 50.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 54.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Compher
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Compher
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Compher
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
58.6% (597)
-12.8%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
57.9% (57)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
51.9% (52)
-10.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Compher
Karlsson
Home
45.1% (519)
59.6% (344)
Away
45.1% (494)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Compher
Karlsson
P1
45.8%
53.1%
P2
46.2%
62.1%
P3
43.2%
60.1%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | William Karlsson |