Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 50.9% vs Gourde 45.6% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 53.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 52.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Compher
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Compher
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Compher
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (582)
47.1% (463)
+5.8%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
36.4% (11)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
29.9% (67)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Compher is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Compher shoots right. Gourde is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Compher
Gourde
Home
52.2% (360)
42.3% (215)
Away
49.5% (301)
46.3% (326)
By Period
Compher
Gourde
P1
55.4%
44.8%
P2
49.8%
49.1%
P3
48.5%
40.1%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
51.0%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |