Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 61.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 63.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 67.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Compher
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Compher
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
2
Compher
Gourde
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
51.2% (469)
-5.4%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
42.9% (21)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
37.5% (48)
+4.4%
On even strength, Gourde has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Compher
Gourde
Home
45.1% (519)
47.8% (301)
Away
45.1% (494)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Compher
Gourde
P1
45.8%
47.3%
P2
46.2%
53.4%
P3
43.2%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%