Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Miller 55.9% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 78.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 74.7%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 74.7%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Kerfoot
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Kerfoot
Miller
Last 10: Kerfoot 3-7 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
4
Kerfoot
Miller
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
3
Kerfoot
Miller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
2
Kerfoot
Miller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
56.3% (1,033)
-5.9%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
62.5% (253)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
47.4% (175)
-8.2%
On power play, Miller has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Miller
Home
51.4% (467)
58.6% (734)
Away
43.5% (395)
54.1% (727)
By Period
Kerfoot
Miller
P1
49.1%
57.1%
P2
42.4%
57.0%
P3
52.7%
54.7%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | OT | 00:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 10, 2024 | OT | 00:20 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |