Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 54.8%). McDonald wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 54.8% vs Miller 54.8% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
McDonald 59.4%
Defensive zone
Miller 69.4%
Neutral zone
McDonald 51.3%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
McDonald
Miller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (436)
55.2% (6,567)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.5% (177)
57.8% (1,266)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (44)
48.1% (900)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. McDonald is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (436).
McDonald shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,829).
Home / Away
McDonald
Miller
Home
54.9% (297)
55.8% (4,486)
Away
56.0% (366)
53.8% (4,247)
By Period
McDonald
Miller
P1
58.5%
54.6%
P2
52.5%
55.6%
P3
54.1%
53.9%
OT
73.7%
61.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
55.5%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
54.8%