Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Miller 53.8% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 78.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 77.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 78.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Stepan
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Stepan
Miller
Last 7: Stepan 1-6 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
3
Stepan
Miller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
3
Stepan
Miller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
54.9% (627)
-7.9%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
53.7% (136)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
47.6% (42)
-0.4%
On even strength, Miller has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Stepan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Stepan shoots right. Miller is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Stepan
Miller
Home
48.2% (761)
54.7% (486)
Away
47.3% (789)
53.6% (319)
By Period
Stepan
Miller
P1
46.3%
48.6%
P2
50.4%
59.6%
P3
46.3%
53.9%
OT
55.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |