Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwartz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Schwartz 50.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Schwartz leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schwartz 90.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 53.5%
Neutral zone
Schwartz 78.8%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Miller
Schwartz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Miller
Schwartz
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Schwartz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
0
6
Miller
Schwartz
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller
Schwartz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
47.2% (651)
+8.0%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
56.2% (345)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
43.5% (46)
+4.7%
On even strength, Miller has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Schwartz is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Miller
Schwartz
Home
55.9% (4,578)
51.3% (526)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
48.6% (516)
By Period
Miller
Schwartz
P1
54.7%
49.1%
P2
55.6%
49.7%
P3
54.0%
51.0%
OT
62.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Jaden Schwartz |