Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Schwartz 47.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 75.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 75.7%
Neutral zone
Schwartz 52.5%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Miller
Schwartz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Miller
Schwartz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
0
2
Miller
Schwartz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Schwartz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
41.9% (62)
+13.8%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
52.2% (90)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
0.0% (5)
+47.2%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Miller shoots left. Schwartz is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Miller
Schwartz
Home
56.1% (440)
50.6% (79)
Away
53.8% (446)
42.3% (78)
By Period
Miller
Schwartz
P1
52.3%
36.2%
P2
54.7%
44.4%
P3
57.2%
60.9%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
32.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |