Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.7%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Spezza 54.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 52.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 51.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 58.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Miller
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Miller
Spezza
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
9
Miller
Spezza
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
4
Miller
Spezza
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Miller
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
54.4% (7,990)
+0.8%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
56.8% (1,726)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
52.7% (643)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Miller
Spezza
Home
55.9% (4,578)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Miller
Spezza
P1
54.7%
55.7%
P2
55.6%
54.4%
P3
54.0%
54.1%
OT
62.3%
51.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |