Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Carter 53.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 55.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 58.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Miller
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
17
(38 meetings)
21
17
Miller
Carter
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
10
Miller
Carter
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
4
Miller
Carter
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
7
3
Miller
Carter
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
53.3% (8,728)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
57.3% (1,554)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
46.3% (1,087)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Miller
Carter
Home
55.9% (4,578)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Miller
Carter
P1
54.7%
53.6%
P2
55.6%
52.8%
P3
54.0%
53.1%
OT
62.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 11:52 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |