Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Miller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Carter 56.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 53.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 50.6%
Neutral zone
Miller 53.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Miller
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Miller
Carter
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
6
Miller
Carter
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller
Carter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
57.9% (885)
-2.4%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
61.7% (133)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
45.4% (119)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Miller shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Miller
Carter
Home
53.5% (578)
58.2% (543)
Away
54.7% (655)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Miller
Carter
P1
58.3%
57.5%
P2
53.5%
57.1%
P3
50.1%
55.8%
OT
70.6%
68.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |