Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 49.5% vs Carter 51.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 54.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 69.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 70.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Miller
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Miller
Carter
Last 8: Miller 6-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (357)
49.9% (935)
-2.0%
Power Play
53.7% (162)
61.8% (157)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
46.7% (92)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Miller is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Miller shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Miller
Carter
Home
53.0% (281)
52.4% (638)
Away
45.3% (243)
50.0% (546)
By Period
Miller
Carter
P1
49.4%
49.6%
P2
53.3%
50.9%
P3
45.6%
53.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
49.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 15:20 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |