J.T. Miller vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 78.1%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 81.5%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 77.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Miller
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Miller
Kotkaniemi
Last 8: Miller 1-7 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
4
Miller
Kotkaniemi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Miller
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
51.7% (586)
+4.6%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
48.1% (52)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
62.5% (8)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Miller
Kotkaniemi
Home
58.6% (734)
49.5% (313)
Away
54.1% (727)
53.5% (333)
By Period
Miller
Kotkaniemi
P1
57.1%
54.5%
P2
57.0%
51.1%
P3
54.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:46 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |