Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Larsson 49.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 86.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 65.6%
Neutral zone
Miller 56.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Miller
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Miller
Larsson
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
8
1
Miller
Larsson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
4
Miller
Larsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
3
Miller
Larsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
50.5% (4,382)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
47.7% (153)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
43.8% (714)
+4.4%
On power play, Miller has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Miller
Larsson
Home
55.9% (4,578)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Miller
Larsson
P1
54.7%
51.6%
P2
55.6%
49.7%
P3
54.0%
47.2%
OT
62.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 7, 2019 | OT | 02:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |