Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Drouin 49.5% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 60.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 75.6%
Neutral zone
Miller 72.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Miller
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Miller
Drouin
Last 5: Miller 3-2 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Drouin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Drouin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
47.5% (181)
+14.0%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
56.8% (44)
+8.8%
On even strength, Miller has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Miller shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Miller
Drouin
Home
62.1% (372)
49.5% (97)
Away
59.7% (355)
49.2% (128)
By Period
Miller
Drouin
P1
58.9%
52.1%
P2
63.9%
51.5%
P3
59.8%
45.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |