Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Drouin 44.5% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 70.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 94.8%
Neutral zone
Miller 91.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Miller
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Miller
Drouin
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
3
Miller
Drouin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
6
2
Miller
Drouin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
4
2
Miller
Drouin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
43.5% (1,824)
+11.7%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
48.3% (387)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
39.1% (23)
+9.1%
On even strength, Miller has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Drouin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Home / Away
Miller
Drouin
Home
55.9% (4,578)
44.0% (1,041)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
44.5% (1,193)
By Period
Miller
Drouin
P1
54.7%
45.9%
P2
55.6%
42.0%
P3
54.0%
45.0%
OT
62.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |