Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Lehtera 50.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 81.4%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 84.4%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 81.0%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 82.7%
17.3%
82.7%
Miller
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Miller
Lehtera
Last 8: Miller 0-8 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
4
Miller
Lehtera
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
4
Miller
Lehtera
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
50.4% (2,714)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
55.8% (339)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
41.3% (104)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Home / Away
Miller
Lehtera
Home
55.9% (4,578)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Miller
Lehtera
P1
54.7%
53.2%
P2
55.6%
50.6%
P3
54.0%
48.1%
OT
62.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |