Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Norris 51.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 53.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 51.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 55.9%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Miller
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Miller
Norris
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
Miller
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
3
2
Miller
Norris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
52.2% (542)
+4.1%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
54.4% (57)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
46.7% (30)
+0.7%
On power play, Miller has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Miller
Norris
Home
58.6% (734)
50.7% (351)
Away
54.1% (727)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Miller
Norris
P1
57.1%
55.6%
P2
57.0%
49.3%
P3
54.7%
52.1%
OT
62.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
56.3%
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:15 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |