Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs MacLean 47.9% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 63.3%
Defensive zone
MacLean 64.6%
Neutral zone
MacLean 69.4%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Miller
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Miller
MacLean
Last 6: Miller 2-4 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
MacLean
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
1
3
Miller
MacLean
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
47.2% (849)
+8.0%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
62.5% (8)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
56.7% (30)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Home / Away
Miller
MacLean
Home
55.9% (4,578)
46.9% (426)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
48.4% (461)
By Period
Miller
MacLean
P1
54.7%
46.6%
P2
55.6%
49.7%
P3
54.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |