Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs MacLean 48.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 62.3%
Defensive zone
MacLean 66.7%
Neutral zone
MacLean 66.8%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Miller
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Miller
MacLean
Last 6: Miller 2-4 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
MacLean
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
1
3
Miller
MacLean
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
47.6% (540)
+10.6%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
66.7% (3)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
60.9% (23)
-2.0%
On even strength, Miller has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Miller
MacLean
Home
59.1% (558)
47.6% (273)
Away
57.3% (520)
48.8% (293)
By Period
Miller
MacLean
P1
60.7%
45.5%
P2
57.5%
48.8%
P3
56.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |