Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 67.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 70.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 68.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Miller
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Miller
Celebrini
Last 9: Miller 5-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
4
Miller
Celebrini
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Celebrini
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Celebrini
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
47.2% (901)
+11.0%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
54.7% (139)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
54.5% (11)
+4.4%
On even strength, Miller has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Home / Away
Miller
Celebrini
Home
59.1% (558)
47.6% (553)
Away
57.3% (520)
49.0% (498)
By Period
Miller
Celebrini
P1
60.7%
46.6%
P2
57.5%
46.4%
P3
56.1%
51.8%
OT
73.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
60.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 15:22 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 14:13 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |