Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Arcobello shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Arcobello 50.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 69.7%
Defensive zone
Arcobello 68.6%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 67.7%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Miller
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Miller
Arcobello
Last 6: Miller 2-4 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Arcobello
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
0
3
Miller
Arcobello
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
50.6% (1,408)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
60.8% (130)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
36.8% (57)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Miller
Arcobello
Home
55.9% (4,578)
53.2% (745)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
48.9% (850)
By Period
Miller
Arcobello
P1
54.7%
53.2%
P2
55.6%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
48.4%
OT
62.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2014 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |