J.T. Miller vs Mathew Barzal

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

J.T. Miller holds a +21.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 59.8% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Miller 59.6% vs Barzal 41.4% (+21.1%)
H2H factor Miller leads 10-0 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Miller 95.3%
Defensive zone Miller 95.3%
Neutral zone Miller 96.0%
Result J.T. Miller favored at 95.8%
95.8%
4.2%
Miller Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
10 - 0 (10 meetings)
10
0
Miller Barzal
Last 10: Miller 10-0 Barzal

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
7
0
Miller Barzal
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Miller
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
40.4% (463)
+21.1%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
34.2% (38)
+31.4%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
28.6% (7)
+19.1%
On power play, Miller has a +31.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Miller is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Miller shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Miller
Barzal
Home
62.1% (372)
38.1% (244)
Away
59.7% (355)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Miller
Barzal
P1
58.9%
46.6%
P2
63.9%
35.7%
P3
59.8%
37.7%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
40.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%
61.5%
60.9%
Barzal
36.0%
44.0%
39.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 29, 2026 3 09:40 Defensive J.T. Miller
Jan 29, 2026 2 15:47 Neutral J.T. Miller
Jan 29, 2026 2 07:35 Neutral J.T. Miller
Jan 28, 2026 3 17:17 Offensive J.T. Miller
Jan 28, 2026 2 19:12 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 3 07:37 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 1 19:32 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 1 19:27 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 1 00:51 Offensive J.T. Miller