Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs McLeod 58.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 80.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 86.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 59.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Miller
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Miller
McLeod
Last 10: Miller 9-1 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
8
2
Miller
McLeod
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
6
Miller
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
59.2% (2,894)
-4.0%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
57.4% (101)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
53.5% (525)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
Home / Away
Miller
McLeod
Home
55.9% (4,578)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Miller
McLeod
P1
54.7%
58.7%
P2
55.6%
59.9%
P3
54.0%
56.3%
OT
62.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 18:07 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |