Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Foligno 52.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 72.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 62.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 61.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Miller
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Miller
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Miller
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
53.4% (249)
+2.9%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
53.2% (154)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
40.6% (32)
+6.8%
On power play, Miller has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Miller
Foligno
Home
58.6% (734)
57.3% (225)
Away
54.1% (727)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Miller
Foligno
P1
57.1%
53.0%
P2
57.0%
51.8%
P3
54.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |