Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 46.9% vs Backstrom 53.4% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 55.9%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 54.3%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 51.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Miller
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Miller
Backstrom
Last 5: Miller 2-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Miller
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (153)
54.1% (1,314)
-9.0%
Power Play
46.2% (52)
56.2% (169)
-10.0%
On power play, Backstrom has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Miller is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Miller shoots left. Backstrom is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Miller
Backstrom
Home
44.9% (78)
57.7% (799)
Away
45.7% (127)
49.5% (810)
By Period
Miller
Backstrom
P1
44.4%
54.7%
P2
45.9%
51.7%
P3
44.7%
54.2%
OT
100.0%
58.1%
Final 5 min
51.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
45.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |