Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 84.2%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 57.6%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 69.9%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Miller
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Miller
Backstrom
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
5
Miller
Backstrom
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Miller
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
47.0% (541)
+8.5%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
47.4% (95)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
15.4% (13)
+30.4%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Miller shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Miller
Backstrom
Home
53.5% (578)
48.5% (328)
Away
54.7% (655)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Miller
Backstrom
P1
58.3%
44.8%
P2
53.5%
42.9%
P3
50.1%
50.9%
OT
70.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 3 | 05:47 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |