Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 45.3% vs Backstrom 51.3% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 76.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 69.3%
Neutral zone
Miller 71.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Miller
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Miller
Backstrom
Last 5: Miller 0-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Miller
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
3
Miller
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (284)
52.5% (1,108)
-7.8%
Power Play
46.0% (50)
52.4% (164)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
27.9% (61)
+2.5%
On even strength, Backstrom has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Miller is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Miller shoots left. Backstrom is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Miller
Backstrom
Home
44.2% (206)
52.5% (642)
Away
43.7% (151)
50.4% (691)
By Period
Miller
Backstrom
P1
44.1%
50.2%
P2
40.2%
51.4%
P3
46.2%
53.0%
OT
100.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
46.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
44.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2017 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |