Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Backstrom 51.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 64.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 67.6%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 67.5%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Miller
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Miller
Backstrom
Last 5: Miller 1-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Miller
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
3
Miller
Backstrom
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (627)
51.0% (1,104)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.7% (136)
54.5% (178)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
47.2% (89)
+0.4%
On even strength, Miller has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Miller is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Miller shoots left. Backstrom is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Miller
Backstrom
Home
54.7% (486)
52.6% (705)
Away
53.6% (319)
49.7% (666)
By Period
Miller
Backstrom
P1
48.6%
51.1%
P2
59.6%
51.0%
P3
53.9%
51.4%
OT
60.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
54.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 1 | 00:14 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |