Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 76.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 75.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 73.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Miller
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Miller
Reinhart
Last 10: Miller 6-4 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
5
2
Miller
Reinhart
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
4
5
Miller
Reinhart
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
42.5% (2,173)
+12.7%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
46.5% (525)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
41.3% (339)
+6.9%
On even strength, Miller has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Miller
Reinhart
Home
55.9% (4,578)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Miller
Reinhart
P1
54.7%
44.5%
P2
55.6%
40.5%
P3
54.0%
44.5%
OT
62.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |