Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 74.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 64.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 71.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Miller
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Miller
Reinhart
Last 5: Miller 3-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Reinhart
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
2
Miller
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
44.6% (345)
+11.7%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
43.3% (97)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
43.2% (88)
+4.2%
On power play, Miller has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Miller
Reinhart
Home
58.6% (734)
47.9% (267)
Away
54.1% (727)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Miller
Reinhart
P1
57.1%
45.6%
P2
57.0%
42.0%
P3
54.7%
45.4%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |