Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Crosby 56.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 60.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 67.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 54.0%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Miller
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Miller
Crosby
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Miller
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
3
Miller
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
5
2
Miller
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
56.2% (1,451)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
61.4% (293)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
55.3% (38)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Miller
Crosby
Home
59.1% (558)
59.1% (939)
Away
57.3% (520)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Miller
Crosby
P1
60.7%
54.9%
P2
57.5%
60.8%
P3
56.1%
55.4%
OT
73.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
60.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |