Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Johnson 50.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 78.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 74.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 63.4%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Miller
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Miller
Johnson
Last 7: Miller 3-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Miller
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
47.4% (78)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
57.6% (33)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
100.0% (2)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Miller shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Miller
Johnson
Home
56.1% (440)
50.9% (57)
Away
53.8% (446)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Miller
Johnson
P1
52.3%
44.1%
P2
54.7%
59.4%
P3
57.2%
52.3%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |