Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 56.3%). Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Seguin 55.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 62.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 51.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Miller
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Miller
Seguin
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Miller
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Miller
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
56.9% (478)
-0.6%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
57.4% (54)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
51.3% (76)
-3.9%
On power play, Miller has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Miller
Seguin
Home
58.6% (734)
57.4% (317)
Away
54.1% (727)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Miller
Seguin
P1
57.1%
50.3%
P2
57.0%
60.4%
P3
54.7%
58.0%
OT
62.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |