Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Drury 54.6% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 89.9%
Defensive zone
Drury 61.6%
Neutral zone
Drury 85.9%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Kerfoot
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kerfoot
Drury
Last 5: Kerfoot 4-1 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Drury
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Drury
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Drury
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
54.7% (590)
-4.3%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
54.7% (53)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
71.4% (21)
-32.2%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Drury
Home
51.4% (467)
56.7% (358)
Away
43.5% (395)
53.6% (306)
By Period
Kerfoot
Drury
P1
49.1%
57.3%
P2
42.4%
57.6%
P3
52.7%
51.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |