Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Drury 57.7% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 77.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 53.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 57.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Dvorak
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dvorak
Drury
Last 5: Dvorak 2-3 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Drury
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
2
Dvorak
Drury
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
0
1
Dvorak
Drury
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
61.2% (667)
-7.5%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
40.0% (10)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
49.0% (157)
-1.4%
On power play, Dvorak has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Drury
Home
53.6% (461)
59.2% (407)
Away
52.9% (507)
58.1% (427)
By Period
Dvorak
Drury
P1
54.1%
59.0%
P2
52.9%
57.7%
P3
53.8%
59.1%
OT
36.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Jack Drury |