Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 49.3% vs Drury 57.7% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 78.1%
Defensive zone
Drury 92.8%
Neutral zone
Drury 68.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Gauthier
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gauthier
Drury
Last 7: Gauthier 4-3 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
4
0
Gauthier
Drury
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
3
Gauthier
Drury
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (110)
61.2% (667)
-15.7%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
40.0% (10)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
49.0% (157)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Gauthier is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Gauthier shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Drury
Home
53.1% (98)
59.2% (407)
Away
44.7% (94)
58.1% (427)
By Period
Gauthier
Drury
P1
43.4%
59.0%
P2
54.2%
57.7%
P3
50.0%
59.1%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.0%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jack Drury |