Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs McBain 46.7% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 70.1%
Defensive zone
Drury 55.5%
Neutral zone
Drury 62.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Drury
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Drury
McBain
Last 10: Drury 5-5 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
4
Drury
McBain
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
4
Drury
McBain
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
5
1
Drury
McBain
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
48.0% (2,298)
+10.0%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
49.0% (51)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
35.7% (308)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
Home / Away
Drury
McBain
Home
58.3% (1,212)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Drury
McBain
P1
56.0%
46.7%
P2
58.6%
47.5%
P3
57.0%
45.6%
OT
62.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Jack Drury |